Iceland vs Wales: betting odds 11 Oct 2024

Betting tips 11 Oct 2024

Iceland and Wales both picked up wins in the last international break, with Turkey taking the lead in the group. It seems as though the Icelanders and the Welsh will be looking to deny each other any dangerous moments in their head-to-head match, as they’re playing for the most valuable points in the group.

At home against Montenegro (2:0), Iceland prevailed thanks to a cohesive performance across all lines. The team was able to adapt to playing without their leading striker Albert Gudmundsson, with the Fiorentina forward missing the match due to injury. On the other hand, the Serie A forward was sorely missed against Turkey (1:3), where the team created only 0.07 xG with one shot on target over the 90 minutes (compared to their opponents’ 2.22 xG from 21 shots).

Wales, in their usual style, played a low-scoring match against Turkey with a minimum of dangerous moments (0:0 and 0.16 xG against Turkey’s 2.28). Against the group’s weakest side, Montenegro (2:1), their attack, featuring Harry Wilson and Brennan Johnson, came alive, although the Welsh didn’t push forward after the break, protecting their two-goal lead. The three-at-the-back formation allows them to meet opponents low and minimise the risk of dangerous attacks.

In Reykjavík, both Iceland and Wales will be cautious. Wales are currently above the Icelanders in the table, so the hosts will need to show attacking initiative, even though they’re not used to being the dominant force.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
13/20
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Iceland
09.09.24
Turkey
Iceland
L
06.09.24
Iceland
Montenegro
W
More matches
Wales
09.09.24
Montenegro
Wales
W
06.09.24
Wales
Turkey
D
More matches

H2H: Iceland — Wales

Friendlies 2014
05.03.14
Wales
Iceland
3
:
1

Group stage

League B. Group 4
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Wales
  0:0 4:1 1:0 6 3 3 0
9:4
12
2
Turkey
0:0   3:1 1:0 6 3 2 1
9:6
11
3
Iceland
2:2 2:4   2:0 6 2 1 3
10:13
7
4
Montenegro
1:2 3:1 0:2   6 1 0 5
4:9
3

Team lineups

Iceland

Åge Hareide
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
gk. 13 -20
Elias-Rabn Olafsson
gk. 6 -8
Patrik Gunnarsson
gk. 4 -2
Sverrir Ingason
df. 49 3
Guðlaugur Victor Pálsson
df. 45 2
Yortyur Hermannsson
df. 28 1
Alfons Sampsted
df. 21 0
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
df. 20 0
Kolbeinn Finnsson
df. 13 0
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
df. 11 0
Logi Tómasson
df. 4 0
Gylfi Sigurðsson
mf. 82 27
Arnor Ingvi Traustason
mf. 58 6
Isak Bergmann Johannesson
mf. 28 3
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
mf. 22 1
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
mf. 15 1
Willum Thór Willumsson
mf. 11 0
Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson
mf. 0 0
Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson
fw. 94 8
Jón Dagur Þorsteinsson
fw. 39 6
Mikael Anderson
fw. 28 2
Andri Gudjohnsen
fw. 26 6
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
fw. 10 3
Wales

Craig Bellamy
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Danny Ward
gk. 42 -45
Adam Davis
gk. 5 -2
Karl Darlow
gk. 1 -1
Ben Davies
df. 89 2
Connor Roberts
df. 57 3
Chris Mepham
df. 47 0
Joe Rodon
df. 47 0
Neco Williams
df. 41 4
Rhys Norrington-Davies
df. 12 1
Ben Cabango
df. 9 0
Owen Beck
df. 0 0
Joseph Allen
mf. 73 2
Jordan James
mf. 13 0
Josh Sheehan
mf. 7 0
Oliver Cooper
mf. 3 0
Harry Wilson
fw. 57 9
Kieffer Moore
fw. 45 13
Brennan Price Johnson
fw. 30 3
David Brooks
fw. 28 4
Nathan Broadhead
fw. 10 2
Sorba Thomas
fw. 10 0
Mark Harris
fw. 6 0
Wes Burns
fw. 6 0
Lewis Koumas
fw. 4 0
Liam Cullen
fw. 3 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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